awpredict
Predict what your environment does next, and how surprised you were.
What it does
a model because it trained without erroring
its prediction against a self-updating lookup, on the rows that are actually novel
Overview
An agent that cannot anticipate its environment can only react. Every framework that offers this makes you adopt its whole training stack to find out whether a learned model beats the lookup table you already have.
awm — a small, dependency-light world model
Docs · Source · pip install git+https://github.com/Aitherium/awpredict.git · The Aither World
The Aither World is an operating system for agents — a Linux you can hand to one, the runtimes it works in, and the tools it works with. awnix is the Linux underneath it; awpredict is one of its 67 bricks — each installs on its own, runs offline, and needs no account.
Start here: Wrap an environment you already have and ask it what happens next.
awpredict is a learned-dynamics library: encode an observation to a
latent, predict the next latent given an action, score how surprised the
model was, optionally plan in latent space. Two engines, a small adapter
protocol, no framework lock-in.
awpredict.core.lewm.LeWorldModel— a LeWM-style JEPA (joint-embedding predictive architecture): a two-term loss (next-latent MSE + SIGReg isotropy regularization), a CEM planner, and an optional value head (_ValueHead/_FsAdapter) for value-guided planning — trained on returns over a frozen latent, off unless you construct with a value config. This is the full engine behind an ARC-AGI-3 solving agent, not a cut-down demo of it.awpredict.core.mlp.MLPWorldModel— a lighter embedding-MLP transition model with a tabular cold-start fallback (tabular → hybrid → neural), for when a full JEPA is more machinery than the problem needs.awpredict.contracts— the two Protocols (WorldModel,EnvironmentAdapter) everything else is written against. Write an adapter for your environment; nothing in an engine has to change.awpredict.adapters.code_world— an example adapter mapping a codebase (landmarks + code chunks) into the engine's observation/action space. Reference implementation, not a complete environment.awpredict.training.online— an optional, flag-gated surprise-modulated online learning-rate controller. Off by default. Seeawpredict/training/PROVENANCE.mdfor concept provenance and license boundary — the concepts (not code) are credited to an external, restricted-license research project; this implementation is clean-room.
Every engine follows one rule: degrade loudly, never silently. A missing
torch install or an unreadable checkpoint sets ok = False and returns
None/[] — it never raises into a caller's turn loop and never fabricates
a prediction. That property mattered more than any architecture choice; see
RESULTS.md.
Install
```bash
pip install -e ".[torch]" # torch + numpy are optional; engines degrade loudly without them
Quick use
```python
from awpredict.core.mlp import MLPWorldModel
model = MLPWorldModel()
model.observe(state, action, next_state, reward=0.0, done=False)
model.train_step()
z = model.encode(state)
pred = model.predict(z, action)
print(model.surprise(state, action, next_state))
Why this exists
The goal is to help someone bootstrap their own world model — a working
engine, a planner, an optional value head, a contract to write your own
adapter against, and no framework lock-in — not a stripped demo pointing at
a hosted service. This is the actual core out of a larger internal agent
platform (Aitherium), extracted whole rather than trimmed, plus the
findings from running it against ARC-AGI-3: see RESULTS.md
for the honest version, including two negative results that mattered more
than any positive one.
Status
Research code. The contracts and degrade-loudly discipline are load-bearing
and tested (tests/); the engines themselves are still moving. lewm.py is
the same file the ARC-AGI-3 solving agent runs, value head included — see
awpredict/__init__.py for what's on by default vs. opt-in.
License
MIT (see LICENSE). See awpredict/training/PROVENANCE.md for the one
file with an external concept-attribution.
Aitherium open-source ecosystem
This repo is one piece of a connected set. All public, MIT/BSL-licensed:
| repo | what it is | pages |
|---|---|---|
| awrecover | Labelled snapshots with an all-or-nothing restore | docs |
| awshare | Publish an artifact and fetch it back verified | docs |
| awseal | Sign an artifact so a stranger can verify it | docs |
| awnode | Lightweight local gateway — your apps to backends you chose | docs |
| awnix | A bootable, immutable Linux base for agent-run machines | docs |
| awdk | Build AI agent fleets — 3 lines, any backend | docs |
| awskills | Free agent skills, scripts & automations | docs |
| AitherZero | PowerShell 7+ automation framework | docs |
| awgit | Semantic version control on top of git | docs |
| awgraph | Code knowledge graph for AI agents | docs |
| aitherkvcache | Near-optimal KV cache quantization | docs |
| awrelay | Agent-to-agent messaging over any chat server | docs |
| awm | A small world model (LeWM JEPA + MLP) to bootstrap your own | docs |
| AitherConnect | Browser extension: federated AI search & desktop bridge | — |
| homebrew-tap | brew tap aitherium/tap |
— |
Built by Aitherium.
The aw family
Standalone tools that share one idea: replace something you would otherwise have to trust with something you can check.
Each installs on its own, works offline, and needs no account.
| instead of trusting | you check | |
|---|---|---|
| awdk | a framework's idea of how your agents should run | one loop you can read, pointed at a backend you already pay for |
| awskills | that an agent knows your procedure | the procedure written down, versioned, and loadable by any agent |
| awpack | that the pack you want shipped inside somebody's SDK, under whatever licence that SDK happens to carry | the pack as its own versioned artifact, with its own licence, that any agent runtime can install |
| awm | that memory stayed in its lane | tenant:user:project scopes, so a write cannot cross a boundary |
| awdesk | that the agent is somewhere behind a browser tab | a tray icon, a face on your desktop, and the decision card that pops when it needs you |
| awnode | a vendor's cloud with every prompt | a local gateway routing to backends you chose |
| awgraph | that grep found everything | an AST + tree-sitter call graph an agent can traverse |
| awgit | that no one else is editing this file | a lease, refused at commit time if you do not hold it |
| awdelphi | one agent's confident take on a decision | the round trace, the anonymity, and who dissents |
| awclassify | a filename, a folder, or whoever last touched it | doc_type, visibility, audience and topics, with the evidence lines that decided each |
| awdecide | a hosted classifier's probability that never learns whether it was right | the decision, its probability, and the calibration curve from your own resolved outcomes |
| awtoll | that your tooling is saving you context | the measured token cost of each tool call, and what the alternative cost |
| awseal | that the artifact came from who you think | an Ed25519 seal — the key that verifies is not the key that forges |
| awshare | that the download is intact | content-addressed bundles, verified on fetch |
| awsuite | that an agent holding your mailbox will not send on its own | every send, draft, upload and create returns a dry-run until confirm is true |
| awnest | that there is a person on the other end | a verdict with evidence, where "we could not tell" is not "yes" |
| awrena | a leaderboard someone can edit, and votes nobody counted | a scored duel with both answers kept, and a result bound to them |
| awnboard | a share link anyone who sees it can use | an invitation addressed to one person, for one gate, revocable |
| awnix | that the box is what you left it as | an immutable image you built, with atomic rollback |
| awrecover | that the restore worked | a restore that fully lands or does not land at all |
| awstorage | a du you ran last month, and a peers file that says 3 TB free | an inventory snapshot per node with a diff since the last one, and each tree classified re-fetchable or not |
| awrelay | a SaaS in the middle of your agents | findings, alerts and coordination over your own transport |
| awask | that anyone read the paragraph where you asked | the ask itself, with a button that steers the session that raised it |
| awmail | a mailbox somebody else can read | mail your agents send and receive over your own server |
| awswarm | that a model either fits your GPU or it doesn't run at all | a placement plan and an acquisition-probability estimate before you spend on a run |
| awfind | one vendor's idea of the web | results from whichever providers you configured |
| awbrowse | that the page said what you were told | the render, the DOM and the requests it made |
| awvoice | that a cloud vendor may hold your audio | a transcript and a wav from a service you host |
| awvision | a filename and a caption somebody wrote | what a model actually reports about the pixels |
| awscreen | a selector that was true when the page was written | the elements actually rendered, by what they look like |
| awbeads | that a layout your users built survives the next deploy | the arrangement as data you can read back, diff, and hand to another surface |
| awbonsai | that inference always means a request left the machine | a WebGPU model answering on the tab's own GPU, with a consent record logged before it ever loaded |
| gawbbonet | the model to keep a 300-message campaign coherent by itself | campaign facts recalled from scoped memory you can list and edit |
| aitherkvcache | a vendor's quantisation defaults | sub-byte KV cache kernels you can benchmark yourself |
| awrtifact | a hand-rolled split script and a hand-edited worker manifest | byte-verified parts in a release, served with Range + CORS, sizes asserted by a live gate |
| AitherZero | a pile of scripts nobody has numbered | numbered, discoverable automation with declarative playbooks |
| AitherConnect | what a page tells your browser to do | a federated search and desktop bridge you host |
| awreason | a confident paragraph | the phases it went through, and every tool call it made to get there |
| awrecurse | that everything you pasted in was actually read | which slices it opened, and what it concluded from each |
| awprism | the first explanation that fits | the ranked alternatives, and the observation that separates them |
| awrepl | what the agent believes the value is | the value, printed from the live session |
| awreport | that the report you pasted carried no token in it | a redacted report, and the duplicate it merged into instead of filing twice |
| awresearch | a summary of pages nobody opened | every claim against the source it came from |
| awfocus | twelve terminal tabs and a bad memory | one command that names every session, finds any transcript, and opens or steers the one you want |
| awgym | that a world model learned anything from the games it saw | transitions captured from real play, fed back, and the retrodiction score falling on grids it never saw |
| awpredict (you are here) | a model because it trained without erroring | its prediction against a self-updating lookup, on the rows that are actually novel |
| awevolve | that your optimisation loop is finding anything | every version it kept, the score that version earned, and the edit that produced it |
| awsh | that you already know the name of the command | what it decided your line meant, before it acts on it |
| awmine | that a session's lesson survived the session | a row per outcome, a candidate per lesson, and the transcript line each one came from |
| awrise | that a scheduled agent ran at all, and ran exactly once | a durable record of every wake -- fired, skipped, overlapped or timed out -- each with its reason |
| awkno | that the docs site is up, or that you remember the family | the whole ecosystem in your terminal, with no network at all |
| awwall | that a service only talks to the hosts you think it talks to | an explicit egress allowlist, where a denial names the rule that denied it |
| awembed | a general-purpose embedder that has never seen your code | a held-out split of whole directories, scored teacher vs student vs int8 |
| awtax | a closed tax app's sealed file you can never read again | a plain, provider-neutral schema of every figure, with the page it came from |
| awsettings | that you will remember to re-approve the same thing on every box you work from | one profile, unioned rather than overwritten, with the credentials left behind |
| awavatar | a cloud 3D vendor's opaque task id | a manifest with a sha256, a licence and a rig-audit verdict per file |
awnix is the ground floor — A Linux you can hand to an agent — immutable base, capabilities included.
The Aitherium ecosystem
Every repository here is public. Each publishes an aither-manifest.json beside its page, so any surface can read every sibling's — the network is browsable from any node in it.
| repo | what it is | pages |
|---|---|---|
| awdk | Build AI agent fleets — 3 lines, any backend, local or cloud | docs |
| awskills | Portable agent skills — self-contained procedures an agent loads on demand | docs |
| awpack | First-party agent packs — the ones we build, versioned and installable on their own | docs |
| awm | A portable, scoped agent memory | docs |
| awdesk | Aither World Desk -- the desktop body of AitherOS Online: tray, avatars, decision cards, the Living Desktop as an overlay | docs |
| awnode | A lightweight local gateway — bridges your apps to the AI backends you chose | docs |
| awrun | A priority-aware queue and dispatcher for agentic runs and ad-hoc CI builds. It also judges whether the runner pool is big enough for the queue it is draining, and can ask a host to grow it -- reserving capacity is zero-sum, so a saturated pool needs more of it, not a different share of it | docs |
| awgraph | A semantic code graph for agents — AST + tree-sitter, call graphs | docs |
| awgit | Semantic version control on top of git — edit-ops and leases | docs |
| awdelphi | Anonymous multi-round expert panels — a converged answer with a trace | docs |
| awclassify | Classify any document -- what it is, who may read it, who it is for, what it is about | — |
| awdecide | One typed-decision contract -- choice / score / bool with a probability -- over a ladder of backends you already run (rules, tiny local models, an LLM's logprobs), fail-closed, with a Brier ledger that resolves every decision against its outcome | — |
| awtoll | What every tool call costs you in context, measured from your own transcripts | docs |
| awseal | Sign an artifact so a stranger can verify it | docs |
| awshare | Publish an artifact and fetch it back verified | docs |
| awsuite | Your Google Workspace as agent tools, and no write happens without a yes | — |
| awdit | An append-only audit trail whose gaps are DETECTABLE | docs |
| awbac | Role-based access control that fails closed and explains itself | docs |
| awiam | Who is this caller? A directory and session store that fails honestly | docs |
| awtunnel | Reach a service that has no public address | docs |
| awnest | Prove there is a human before you let them into the nest | docs |
| awrena | Put two agents head to head and get a verdict you can check | docs |
| awnboard | A front gate you can put in front of anything, and hand someone the key to | docs |
| awnix | A Linux you can hand to an agent — immutable base, capabilities included | docs |
| awrecover | Labelled snapshots with an all-or-nothing restore | docs |
| awstorage | Every drive on every node, indexed, classified and diffed -- so you can see what you own before you delete it | docs |
| awrelay | Portable agent messaging — findings, alerts, coordination | docs |
| awask | Your agent asks you a question — and acts on your answer | docs |
| awmail | Give an agent an email address — send, and actually receive | docs |
| awnet | The agentic web — agents host a mesh, and agents join one | docs |
| awswarm | Run one model too big for any single GPU across a pool of small ones | — |
| awfind | A portable search client — query, results, ranking | docs |
| awbrowse | A portable browser client — navigate, console, network, DOM, screenshot | docs |
| awvoice | Hear and speak — transcribe audio, synthesize a voice | docs |
| awvision | See an image — describe it, ask it a question, compare two | docs |
| awscreen | See this machine — what is on screen, and where to click it | docs |
| awkit | Render an agent panel from a tool result — one component, any React app | — |
| awbeads | A spatial canvas for a page — arrange things, connect them, and keep the arrangement | — |
| awbonsai | Run a real model in the visitor's own browser — no server round trip, no upload | — |
| awknowledge | How to run a coding agent so the result survives — the laws, with evidence | docs |
| awbrain | Your history as a wiki of linked markdown — claims pinned to the evidence | — |
| gawbbonet | GobboNet campaigns with a real agent brain — scoped memory, graph recall | docs |
| aitherkvcache | Near-optimal KV cache quantization for LLM inference — sub-byte compression | docs |
| awrtifact | Deliberately chunk artifacts into GitHub release assets — the productized aitherkvcache mirror lane | docs |
| AitherZero | PowerShell 7+ automation framework — numbered, self-describing scripts | docs |
| AitherConnect | Browser extension — federated AI search, page context, and the Living OS overlay | docs |
| awreason | A portable reasoning client — sessions, phases, thoughts, and the chain that produced the answer | docs |
| awrecurse | Answer a question over a context far larger than the window — recursively, with the trace kept | docs |
| awprism | Turn a failure into ranked hypotheses — and say what would confirm each one | docs |
| awrepl | A REPL an agent can actually use — state that survives between turns | docs |
| awreport | File a bug report that has already scrubbed your secrets and collapsed the duplicate | — |
| awresearch | Ask a research question, get a cited report you can check | docs |
| awfocus | See, search and steer every Claude session from one command | docs |
| awgym | An ARC training gym — a game a world model can watch, and six roles that play through it | docs |
| awpredict (you are here) | Predict what your environment does next, and how surprised you were | docs |
| awevolve | Point an agent at a file and a command that scores it, and let it improve | — |
| awsh | Your terminal answers you -- type a question where a command would go | docs |
| awmine | Mine what your agents did -- outcomes, lessons and procedures out of the transcripts they left behind | — |
| awrise | Wake an agent on a schedule, let it do one thing, and put it back to sleep | docs |
| awkno | The man page for the Aither World — every brick, stack and law, offline | docs |
| awwall | Say what a workload may reach, and watch everything else fail closed | docs |
| awrouter | OpenRouter for your own fleet: pick a model backend by cost/latency/ capability, fail over, fit the context window, stream. Standalone, OpenAI-compatible, no Aither-specifics required to be valuable | — |
| awembed | Train an embedding model that knows your corpus, and prove it beats the big one | docs |
| awtax | Turn any tax PDF -- returns, W-2, 1099, statements, even scans -- into structured data you can check | docs |
| awflow | A deterministic workflow runtime — chain agent calls with journal replay and budget control | docs |
| awsettings | Your agent's permissions and config, following you to the next machine | docs |
| awavatar | One character spec in, a rigged, animated, multi-style avatar pack out | docs |
Built on llama.cpp · vLLM · ComfyUI · CentOS Stream · Podman · Docker · LanceDB · WireGuard · FFmpeg · Blender + Rigify · headroom · SANA · Hunyuan3D · repowise · Playwright · Chromium · Next.js · React.
The Aitherium Ecosystem
Portable tools you adopt one at a time. Each one works alone.